Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.046919 0.055332 0.064751 0.076071 0.089298 0.104256 0.122449
2025-06-29 0.032736 0.043226 0.056289 0.073714 0.096316 0.124604 0.162670
2025-07-06 0.024511 0.035357 0.050027 0.071245 0.101068 0.141408 0.200029
2025-07-13 0.020329 0.031541 0.047775 0.072863 0.110512 0.164743 0.248599
2025-07-20 0.017063 0.028214 0.045344 0.073382 0.117908 0.185610 0.296026
2025-07-27 0.014618 0.025594 0.043372 0.074003 0.125157 0.206759 0.346263
2025-08-03 0.012779 0.023573 0.041927 0.075060 0.132976 0.229461 0.401565
2025-08-10 0.011481 0.022227 0.041329 0.077326 0.142935 0.256649 0.467490
2025-08-17 0.009693 0.019664 0.038171 0.074521 0.143495 0.267677 0.506624
2025-08-24 0.008527 0.018071 0.036513 0.074159 0.148309 0.286590 0.561936
2025-08-31 0.007463 0.016496 0.034635 0.073051 0.151463 0.302670 0.613711
2025-09-07 0.006833 0.015708 0.034181 0.074672 0.160096 0.330016 0.690226
2025-09-14 0.006018 0.014406 0.032523 0.073657 0.163432 0.347760 0.750702
2025-09-21 0.005240 0.013056 0.030565 0.071724 0.164597 0.361315 0.804475
2025-09-28 0.004546 0.011778 0.028567 0.069390 0.164538 0.372243 0.853977
2025-10-05 0.004205 0.011295 0.028307 0.070983 0.173452 0.403421 0.951212
2025-10-12 0.003836 0.010679 0.027635 0.071492 0.179913 0.429907 1.041103
2025-10-19 0.003515 0.010129 0.027042 0.072098 0.186667 0.457816 1.137560
2025-10-26 0.003250 0.009684 0.026642 0.073128 0.194583 0.489328 1.246218
2025-11-02 0.003064 0.009429 0.026696 0.075338 0.205751 0.529871 1.381436
2025-11-09 0.002690 0.008561 0.024986 0.072603 0.203788 0.538091 1.437719
2025-11-16 0.002451 0.008055 0.024190 0.072250 0.208077 0.562436 1.537685
2025-11-23 0.002212 0.007506 0.023189 0.071170 0.210243 0.581580 1.626433